The official language of the conference is English.

Publication history



MACROMODELS 1988


15th and 16th Macromodels 1988 and 1989
Wladyslaw Welfe, Czeslaw Lipinski, Zbigniew Karwacki
ABSOLWENT, Lodz 1995, ISBN:87-7016-909-0
Contents
Part I 5
MACROMODELS ’88. 15th Conference on Problems of Building and Estimation of Large Econometric Models (Serock, 6-9 December, 1988)
Introduction
Krzysztof Cichocki, Optimal Control Model of the Polish Economy with Flexibility in Criteria and Constraints 11
Hermann-Josef Hansen, A Two Market Disequilibrium Model for the FRG 25
Igor Nikulnikov, Grigory Shagalov, The CMEA Countries Economies Cooperation Model 35
Eva Kigyossy-Schmidt, Bernd Matthes, Stability of Dynamic Leontief Systems and the Problem of Constructing Disequilibrium Input-Output Models 59
Thomas Weiss, Employment in the FRG, A Single Equation and Macromodel Analysis 65
Johann A. Mueller, Heike Link, On the Inclusion of External Economic Requirements on Macroeconomic Modelling 95
Miloslav Tkac, Stefan Condik, Vladislav Filipek, Vladislaw Balko, A Software System for Macroeconomic Analyses 105
Dalibor Morvansky, Nelim – Program for Analysis of Nonlinear Econometric Models 111
Jerzy Jakubczyc, The Microcomputer System of Generating Test Data with Independently Controllable Features 119
Abstracts
Yngve Abrahamsen, Bernd Schips, Specification Tests and Model Evaluation - Once Again 127
Anna Bartkowiak, Good Model Fit of Stability of Coefficients in the Model Equation, a Dilemma 127
Vladimir Benacek, The Comparison of Czechoslovak and Hungarian Foreign Trade Specialization Patterns 128
Juergen Blazejczak, Simulation of MacroEconomic Perspectives for the FRG with the DIW Long-Term Model 129
Maria Borisova, Victoria Blagoeva, Structural Factors Limiting the Economic Growth in the Socialist Countries (Some Experiments with Econometric Models) 130
Marcela Dedouchova, A Simulation Model to Test Economic Efficiency in Strategic Management of Enterprises 130
Youri N. Ivanov, On Representativeness of Aggregate Models of Economy 132
Kazimierz Krauze, Aggregation or Disaggregation? Problem of Building of Econometric Models in the Medium-Level Economic Structure 133
Wilhelm Krelle, Latent Variables and Econometric Models with an Explanation of Long-Term Cycles in Economic Growth 134
Igor Krivobok, Special Regimes in Economic Planning Problems 134
Jiri Krovak, Specific Features of Long-Term Forecasting (Modelling in Long-Term Growth) 136
Sergei Lobanov, Optimal Control in the Multisectoral Macroeconomic Model 136
Alek Markowski, A Small Integrated Model of the Financial and Real Sector of the Swedish Economy 137
Władysław Milo, New Ideas of Results in Biased Estimation 138
Michael Schulz, An Innovation Process in a Dynamic Input-Output Model 139
Emanuel Sip, Jan Zurek, Price Accessibility of Consumer Goods: A Practical Approach 140
Manfred Woelfling, Horst Brandt, Various Ways to Model the Energy System – Problems and Results 140
Papers published elsewhere (Bibliographical notes)
Vladimir Dlouhy, Portes and Winter – Ten Years After 142
Gerd Hansen, Real Factor Prices and the Business Cycle: Some Tests Under Rational Expectations for the FRG 142
Ari Lahti, Matti Viren, Rational Expectations in a Macromodel: Some Comparative Analyses with Finnish Data 142
Ivan Sujan, Dusan Strauch, An Aggregate Disequilibrium Model for Czechoslovakia 142
Aleksander Welfe, Wojciech Zatoń, Solving and Analysing of Econometric Models with the Gauss-Seidel Method 143
Władysław Welfe et. al., The Future Development of the Polish Economy 143
Władysław Welfe, Grażyna Juszczak, Maria Kazmierska, Supply Multiplier Hypotheses – Empirical Evidence for Poland 143
Part II 5
MACROMODELS ’89. 16th Conference on Problems of Building and Estimation of Large Econometric Models (Borki, 12-15 December, 1989)
Introduction
Lawrence R. Klein, Mirosław Gronicki, Conversion: The Trade-Off between Military and Civilian Production in the Warsaw Pact Countries 149
Hubert S. Levine, Bryan Roberts, Some Simulations of Medium-Term Soviet Economic Growth 181
Jerzy Romanski, Władysław Welfe, Simulations of Macroeconomic Disequilibria for Poland 197
Władysław Welfe, The Supply Multiplier. Empirical Evidence for Poland 215
Joachim Schnitke, Reiner Staeglin, A Transfer Model to Reconcile Commodity-Based and Institutionally-Based Input-Oputput Results 245
Wacława Starzynska, Supply-Constrained Demand Equations – Some Applications for the Polish Market 261
Jan Jacek Sztaudynger, Mirosław F. Zielinski, The Debt and GDP Structure – the Case of Mexico 273
Anna Bartkowiak, Teresa Liśkiewicz, A Dilemma: Good Model Fit or Stability of Coefficients in the Model Equation 281
Abstracts
B. Boehm, Creation of Economic Policy on the Basis of the Macro Econometric Model of Austrian Economy 291
P. Charemza, Multi Dimensional Stochastic Optimization 291
Wieslaw Debski, Price-income Policy on the Basis of the Econometric Model of Income and Expenditure of Population in Poland 292
Jan B. Gajda, The Degree of Interdependence of a Multiequation Model 293
Grażyna Juszczak, Maria M. Kazmierska, Władysław Welfe, Supply Multiplier – New Data for Poland 293
Maria Lubera, The Non-Material Services Sector in a Macro Model 294
Władysław Milo, Negative Effects of the Standard Statistical Operations 294
P. Nick, Some Trends in the Foreign Trade of GDR Detected Using the Mathematical, Statistical Methods 295
I. Nikulnikov, G. Shagalov, Influence of the CMEA Countries Foreign Trade on the Economic Development. Statistical data and Modeling 296
Witold Orłowski, General Equilibrium Model for Poland 296
J.M.Philip, KEOP/SIMPC: Fast Simulation Runs of Large Econometric Models on PCs. 297
Jan J. Sztaudynger, Modeling of the Interest Repayment 297